Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. 3. In a couple of words: its nice! 2022-2023 forecast: Chances for El-Nino? - mkweather This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Arizona Winter Weather Outlook The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. November climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Thank you! On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. Feb March 2023 . Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. For more detailed information, click the link below. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Global carbon dioxide emissions reached a record high in 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast | OpenSnow An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. It's not . Flagstaff, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. Winter Weather Forecast For the Valley: See Daily Predictions Heavy rain and flooding potential forecast for much of Arizona Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. All NOAA. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. October climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Questions? This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The 2022 Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast For Arizona Is Out And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook - National Oceanic and Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast For Tennessee 2022-2023 - OnlyInYourState If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. One daily temperature record was set. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. . During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. More snow? Here's Michigan's winter 2022-2023 outlook The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer, drier South with ongoing La Nina Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Apr. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. But when will it really start? Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Mortgage Applications Plunge Could Send These Multifamily REIT Stocks Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Questions? Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Support local journalism. That is 100% free to view. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. Climate & Weather Averages in Arizona, Arizona, USA - Time and Date A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive.
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